BTC price outcome markets · Non-custodial
Trade BTC price outcomes with fixed max loss.
Choose whether BTC settles above, below, or inside a price range. Review amount, quoted payout, breakeven probability, liquidity, and expiry before confirming. Polybit never custodies your funds.
Fixed max lossQuoted payout before confirmLightning invoiceNo platform custody
Example BTC positionGreen = payout range · Red = outside payout range
Loading historical market data...
High $61,500Low $61,000$61,531LIVE
Testnet mode · No platform custody
Live market structure
Markets built around decision quality.
Every position page is designed to answer the core questions before the user confirms an amount.
Timeline and payout
A clear path from amount to settlement.
Choose market
Review BTC reference, strike, expiry, payout quote, and available liquidity.
Confirm amount
Select amount and review max loss before confirmation.
Validate payment
Use Lightning invoice flow or demo ledger reservation.
Settle result
At expiry, Polybit records the settlement result.
Trust layer
Financial language, explicit risk, no custody claims.
Non-custodial
No platform custody of user balances.
Defined max loss
Committed amount is shown before confirmation.
Transparent terms
Strike, expiry, payout quote, and liquidity stay visible.
BTC reference
BTC chart and strike range anchor each position.
Market context
Useful context without turning the page into a news feed.
The product should surface market information that helps position review: BTC reference, distance to strike, price performance, time remaining, and settlement terms.
Price performance
Use 1h, 24h, 7d, and 30d change to understand whether a strike is conservative or aggressive.
Distance to strike
Show whether BTC is currently inside or outside the payout range and how far it needs to move.
Settlement rules
Keep the payout condition, expiry, and max loss visible before the user confirms a position.
Featured market
Simple terms, clear payout, defined risk.
Preview market
BTC between 61,000 and 61,500 until 10 Jul 2026
This market is pulled from the live Polybit feed. Open the detail page to review amount, quoted payout, liquidity, invoice flow, and settlement terms.
- Payout quote
- 3.50x
- Liquidity
- $875
- Time left
- Expired
Access
Start with demo mode, then move toward wallet-linked flow.
Wallet-linked flow
Use wallet identity and Lightning invoice flow for position validation when payment rails are active.
Connect walletTestnet demo mode
Explore the full order ticket, ledger, market detail, and investments view without using mainnet funds.
FAQ
Short answers before you start.
What is Polybit?
Polybit is a Bitcoin position interface for BTC outcome markets, Lightning invoices, account-linked ledgers, and testnet validation.
Is this real money?
No. The current public beta runs on testnet infrastructure. Do not send mainnet BTC or production Lightning funds.
Do I need a wallet?
You can explore the beta with an email and password account. Wallet-based access remains the intended flow for creating wallet-linked invoices, positions, and ledger history.
How are positions settled?
Each position is tied to a ledger entry. Settlement logic checks the market outcome at expiry and updates the account-linked ledger with the result.
What happens if Lightning payment fails?
The position remains unpaid and is not treated as active. The invoice can expire, be retried, or be reviewed from the ledger and payment status flow.